What is a probabilistic climate forecast?

Introduction to Seasonal and Subseasonal Probabilistic Forecasts The probabilistic climate forecast is emerging as a an important tool for companies to gain value from long-range forecasts. The World Climate Service seasonal and subseasonal (S2S) weather forecasts emphasize probabilistic information, which is less intuitive but more powerful than the traditional style of deterministic short-term weather forecasts. […]

February 2018 – Sub-Seasonal Climate Forecast Success

A notable late winter cold outbreak over Europe was successfully anticipated by World Climate Service sub-seasonal forecast guidance.  Beginning in early January, WCS sub-seasonal outlooks identified a threat of cold at some point in February, and the risk was more clearly defined in subsequent guidance; by early February, confidence was high that a prominent cold[…]

January 2018 – Prescient Weather Recognized By The AMS

Prescient Weather was honored by the American Meteorological Society at its 2018 annual meeting in Austin, Texas.  Prescient Weather, which operates the World Climate Service, was granted the 2018 award for outstanding services to meteorology by a corporation; the citation reads “For scientific creativity and technological innovation in transforming climate data, climate variability predictions, and[…]